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The 2018 NFL season is still months away.  That’s no reason not to make some wildly irresponsible NFL projections.

Those of you who have followed this blog will know that last year I wrote some PHP to pick NFL games.  I modified it to analyze college games and picked every game of the college football playoff correctly.   Over the course of the NFL season it picked 137 out of 256 games correctly for a winning percent of 53.5% against the spread.

My percentage of winning picks increased significantly as the season went along.  That is easily explained by the fact that NFL teams vary significantly from year to year.  I continually updated my app as the season went along with 2017 data instead of relying on the previous years data.

This year, as I re-wrote my app in Python I think that I came up with a better way to extrapolate data from last years teams.  Instead of relying on the obviously flawed wins and losses from the previous year I have focused more heavily on Pythagorean wins, based on points scored and points allowed.  With that being said, and with no further ado, I give you the ( projected )

2018 NFL Final Standings


AFC East

New England Patriots 11-5
Miami Dolphins 6-10
Buffalo Bills 6-10
New York Jets 5-11

AFC North
Pittsburgh Steelers 9-7
Baltimore Ravens 6-10
Cincinnati Bengals 6-10
Cleveland Browns 3-13

AFC South
Jacksonville Jaguars 11-5
Tennessee Titans 9-7
Houston Texans 7-9
Indianapolis Colts 6-10

AFC West
Oakland Raiders 10-6
Los Angeles Chargers 10-6
Kansas City Chiefs 7-9
Denver Broncos 7-9

NFC East
Philadelphia Eagles 12-4
Dallas Cowboys 8-8
Washington Redskins 8-8
New York Giants 6-10

NFC North
Minnesota Vikings 12-4
Green Bay Packers 10-6
Detroit Lions 6-10
Chicago Bears 5-11

NFC South
Atlanta Falcons 11-5
Carolina Panthers 9-7
New Orleans Saints 9-7
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 6-10

NFC West
Los Angeles Rams 11-5
San Francisco 49ers 9-7
Seattle Seahawks 8-8
Arizona Cardinals 7-9